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SYNOPSYS INCSeasonality Algorithms and Portfolio Optimization

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+4.15%

BEST HISTORICAL MONTH

May

Average win rate of 69% over the last 35 years. Strong historical bullish trend in this period.

-1.48%

WORST HISTORICAL MONTH

February

Negative average return with a win rate of 49% over 35 years. Historically characterized by weakness.

89/100

QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS

Robusta

Statistical validation completed with high confidence. Profitability and robustness tested over 12-month out-of-sample windows.

The Limit of Monthly Reports: Did you know you can do better?

The historical aggregate tables below show overall monthly performance. However, markets do not move in 30-day blocks. Entering and exiting on specific days of the same month (e.g. from day 12 to day 24) can significantly increase returns and reduce drawdowns.

Discover exact daily precision with seasonality windows inside the Horaizon app.

Monthly Seasonality Table

Historical data based on a horizon of up to 15 years of trading.

MONTHWIN RATEAVG RETURNPROFIT FACTORTOTAL RETURNYEARS
January
53%-1.31%0.71-44.44%34
February
49%-1.48%0.62-51.76%35
March
49%+0.65%1.24+22.65%35
April
51%+3.05%2.01+106.60%35
May
69%+4.15%3.35+145.42%35
June
46%+0.04%1.01+1.52%35
July
65%+0.55%1.17+18.84%34
August
59%+0.95%1.26+32.17%34
September
47%+0.72%1.24+24.45%34
October
59%+3.93%3.43+133.57%34
November
71%+3.67%2.93+124.94%34
December
59%+2.06%1.73+70.19%34

Why Choose the Horaizon Platform?

Quant Seasonality Engine

Instantly scan thousands of assets including Stocks, ETFs, Commodities, and Crypto to find the most stable seasonal configurations.

Walk-Forward (WFA) Validation

Validate your strategy on real out-of-sample data. Avoid overfitting errors and ensure seasonality works in the future.

Automatic Optimization

Combine individual assets into diversified portfolios. Our algorithm optimizes weights to reduce overall volatility and drawdowns.

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Expand Your Knowledge

Mastering Seasonality

Discover how temporal cycles affect global stock markets.

Stock Analysis 101

From fundamental basics to advanced quantitative analysis.

Options Strategies

Use options to capitalize on seasonal inefficiencies.